Debate contribution: New Deal for Private Renters in Northern Ireland

Debate contribution by Mr Timothy Gaston on .

MLA
Mr Timothy Gaston
Party at the time
Traditional Unionist Voice
Date
24 February 2025
Type
Debate contribution
Business
Private Members' Business
Heading
New Deal for Private Renters in Northern Ireland
Assembly identifier
Official Report component 4813990

Text

When discussing unaffordable rents and the lack of available housing throughout Northern Ireland, we must consider the causes rather than simply focusing on dealing with their outworkings. The main issue driving up rents is the lack of available housing stock and the lack of new affordable homes that are being built to match current, never mind future, demand. A number of weeks ago, I welcomed the Communities Minister's ambition to deliver at least 100,000 new social or affordable homes over 15 years to meet our housing demands. On top of the potential capital funding and planning permission issues that he will encounter, I question the commitment, if any, that the Minister has been given by the Executive and the Minister for Infrastructure on the investment required for Northern Ireland Water to support that much-needed housing plan. Members will not need me to tell them that, across the Province, there are horror stories of how decades of underinvestment in the waste water infrastructure have left many homeowners living with the consequences. Another issue that is relevant to the matter before the House, although it is not mentioned in the motion or the amendments, is the rapid increase in legal or illegal HMOs. Landlords know that if they evict a good sitting tenant today, they can fill the house with a number of people tomorrow and increase their income as a result. A landlord in my constituency is now buying commercial properties in the town centre with a view to turning them into HMOs, because he can get a better return from an HMO than from a shop. I will touch briefly on another point that the motion does not address directly. Whether the Chamber wants to admit it or not, uncontrolled immigration is a contributing factor to rising housing rents, especially in deprived areas. Last summer, we witnessed some disgraceful disorder on our streets. There were attempts by some, particularly in the media, to claim that pressure on housing caused by immigration was a myth. The data, however, tells us a different story. The Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency tells me that there was a net international flow of over 5,000 people into this country in the year ending mid-2022. The lived experience of many of my North Antrim constituents is that working-class communities such as Harryville in my home town recognise that immigration has been a factor in the housing pressure that creates higher rents. The court ruling last year on the Rwanda Bill showed that the protocol opens up the very real prospect of effective immigration controls in the rest of the UK not applying in Northern Ireland. That matter may not be a concern for the majority in the House, but, as Sinn Féin has found in the Irish Republic, the EU's open-borders policy eventually gets unpopular with communities well beyond the confines of the loyalist housing estates of Ballymena that I am proud to represent. I make no apology for articulating their views here today, even if no one else will.

Thank you very much, Mr Deputy Speaker. I will respond to the Member by saying that immigration is one of the issues that adds pressure to our housing stock across Northern Ireland, whether or not the Member wishes to admit it. When there is a lack of stock, rents will ultimately increase: that is a fact. Immigration is one of the issues that adds to the pressure on our housing stock: that is also a fact. Unless and until we deal with the factors that cause rent increases, landlords will continue to be driven by money rather than by a desire to provide good houses for their tenants. I am happy to support the motion, but greater focus needs to be put on the cause of rents being driven up rather than on mollycoddling the landlords to keep the prices down. We need to look at the cause as well as the outworkings.

658 words. Text as published by the Northern Ireland Assembly.

Assessment

Qualifying Immigration, asylum, race, ethnicity and Travellers

Jev’s structured answers met every documented threshold for a qualifying culture-war activity.

  • Overall probability that the activity is being used to promote, exploit or escalate an identity-based controversy: 0.52 (qualifying needs at least 0.70; at or below 0.30 is not qualifying).
  • Criteria met: Sectarian or communal antagonism (0.71); Dog-whistle messaging (0.74).
  • Assessed as legitimate policy scrutiny (0.81).
  • The text adopts the identity-based framing in its own voice (0.92).
  • Subject area: Immigration, asylum, race, ethnicity and Travellers.
  • The text adopts an antagonistic or dog-whistle framing, which qualifies even alongside legitimate scrutiny.

This is an AI-generated assessment of the text, made against published criteria. It is not a finding of fact about the MLA or their intentions. The Assembly record itself is the fact.

Jev’s structured answers

Probability that each statement is true of this text (0 = no, 1 = yes). A criterion counts as met at 0.60 or above.
QuestionProbabilityMet?
Identity framing0.22No
Sectarian or communal antagonism0.71Yes
Cultural grievance politics0.02No
Dog-whistle messaging0.74Yes
Controversy escalation0.25No
Legitimate policy scrutiny0.81Yes
Overall judgement0.52Between thresholds
Context and attribution (stance)
OptionProbability
No identity-based framing0.08
Reports or questions it0.00
Criticises or condemns it0.00
Adopts it (chosen)0.92
Subject area (top five)
SubjectProbability
Immigration, asylum, race, ethnicity and Travellers0.99
Sectarianism, hate crime and community relations0.01
No identity-related subject0.00
Flags, emblems, symbols, names and memorials0.00
Parades, bonfires and commemorations0.00

Assessed 21 October 2026 at 12:01 UTC by jev-1.13.0 (requested as typesafe/jev) under rubric 2026.10-r9, methodology 1.9.

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