Debate contribution: Front-line Services: Employers’ National Insurance Increase

Debate contribution by Mr Timothy Gaston on .

MLA
Mr Timothy Gaston
Party at the time
Traditional Unionist Voice
Date
13 January 2025
Type
Debate contribution
Business
Private Members' Business
Heading
Front-line Services: Employers’ National Insurance Increase
Assembly identifier
Official Report component 4738722

Read the official Assembly record

Text

Members, it is important to remember that National Insurance is only part of the tax burden to fall upon employers. It is shocking that the Labour Government have chosen to reduce the threshold to £5,000, meaning that the vast majority of people with a part-time job will end up with their employer now paying 15% National Insurance. That will result in question marks over the viability of many jobs. The hospitality sector in my constituency, which is a sector that already runs on relatively small margins and employs a lot of part-time people, will fall victim to a double whammy: the increase in the living wage, plus employers now having to pay National Insurance. Many businesses in North Antrim are small. They employ 10 people or fewer but have a vision to expand and grow. The changes will mean that many of them simply will not be able to afford to do so. As I understand it, the Government are offsetting the National Insurance rise in relation to the public sector. That said, following a question for written answer in the Commons, my party leader obtained information that suggests that the higher level of employment in the public sector in Northern Ireland, which is 26·8% as opposed to 17·3% across the UK, will not be recognised. Therefore, we face being short-changed in another issue that is developing in the budgetary pressures that bedevil this place. Importantly, I believe that the change will result in Northern Ireland once again being funded below the level of need. Since the UK Government adopted that definition, funding for Northern Ireland has fallen below the definition of need not once but twice in five years. I also note that there is no suggestion of the Government offsetting the cost of National Insurance in relation to agency staff, who, as Members will know, do a Trojan amount of work and without whom our health and social care service would simply collapse.

I thank the Member — I think — for his intervention. I would certainly rather that Northern Ireland were released from the shackles of the Northern Ireland protocol —.

What?

People would be poorer? No. It would allow our businesses to flourish and take advantage of Brexit. Northern Ireland did not get Brexit, but, once again, the Alliance Party is still in denial. I will finish my remarks by saying that the changes mean that the sector will struggle even more than it does currently. That is another reason why I support the motion. Agency workers in Northern Ireland are the backbone of our industry. If the Government do not stand over helping to offset the cost of National Insurance increases, rather than foisting the increases on agency workers and public services, I despair. I look to the Finance Minister to see what work she has done to date and what figures she will produce for Members this evening on the issue.

487 words. Text as published by the Northern Ireland Assembly.

Assessment

Not flagged

Jev’s structured answers met the documented threshold for “not flagged”.

  • Overall probability that the activity is being used to promote, exploit or escalate an identity-based controversy: 0.12 (flagging needs at least 0.70; at or below 0.30 is not flagged).
  • None of the five culture-war criteria was met (each was below 0.60).
  • Assessed as legitimate policy scrutiny (0.91).
  • No identity-based framing was identified (0.90).
  • Subject area: Constitutional question, Brexit, the Windsor Framework and sovereignty.
  • The overall probability was at or below the not-flagging threshold.

This is an AI-generated assessment of the text, made against published criteria. It is not a finding of fact about the MLA or their intentions. The Assembly record itself is the fact.

Jev’s structured answers

Probability that each statement is true of this text (0 = no, 1 = yes). A criterion counts as met at 0.60 or above.
QuestionProbabilityMet?
Identity framing0.07No
Sectarian or communal antagonism0.04No
Cultural grievance politics0.02No
Dog-whistle messaging0.15No
Controversy escalation0.11No
Legitimate policy scrutiny0.91Yes
Overall judgement0.12At or below not-flagging threshold
Context and attribution (stance)
OptionProbability
No identity-based framing (chosen)0.90
Reports or questions it0.01
Criticises or condemns it0.00
Adopts it0.09
Subject area (top five)
SubjectProbability
Constitutional question, Brexit, the Windsor Framework and sovereignty0.85
No identity-related subject0.15
Flags, emblems, symbols, names and memorials0.00
Parades, bonfires and commemorations0.00
Irish language, Ulster-Scots and language policy0.00

Assessed 21 October 2026 at 11:43 UTC by jev-1.13.0 (requested as typesafe/jev) under rubric 2026.10-r9, methodology 1.9.

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